Goalence

📊 Prediction Accuracy

Predictions are logged before kickoff and hit/miss is automatically calculated after the match ends. Not a retrospective backtest — real forward-tracked performance across leagues, national teams, and continental cups.

May 24, 2026

544

predictions

1,659

matches

01

Overall Performance

Confident picks · Solid + Elite · confidence ≥ 55%, labelled before kickoff

Match Result66.7%402 of the 603 confident-labelled matches correctAll 1,659 matches (incl. those labelled uncertain): 862 correct · 52.0%
Over/Under 2.562.0%624 of the 1,006 confident-labelled matches correctAll 1,659 matches (incl. those labelled uncertain): 976 correct · 58.8%
Both Teams Score59.5%559 of the 940 confident-labelled matches correctAll 1,659 matches (incl. those labelled uncertain): 950 correct · 57.3%
02

🎯 By Confidence Tier

🔥EliteConfidence ≥ 70%

78.0%

n=195

73.6%

n=87

73.0%

n=37

✅SolidConfidence 55–70%

61.3%

n=408

60.9%

n=919

58.9%

n=903

⚖️NormalConfidence < 55%

43.6%

n=1,056

53.9%

n=653

54.4%

n=719

03

🏆 By Tournament

UEFA Competitions(3)

Tournament
Overall
Elite
N
UEFA Champions League
58.6%
91.7%
99
UEFA Conference League
56.6%
75.0%
205
UEFA Europa League
54.1%
100.0%
85

Leagues(15)

Tournament
Overall
Elite
N
Austrian Bundesliga
59.5%
50.0%
42
Premier League
44.0%
60.0%
50
Ligue 1
50.0%
66.7%
40
Bundesliga
50.0%
85.7%
36
Greek Super League
64.0%
55.6%
25
Serie A
62.0%
100.0%
50
Dutch Eredivisie
54.0%
71.4%
63
Portuguese Primeira Liga
52.7%
86.7%
55
Russian Premier League
54.2%
50.0%
72
Scottish Premiership
40.5%
100.0%
42
La Liga
51.0%
100.0%
49
Swiss Super League
53.7%
100.0%
54
Turkish Super League
44.4%
75.0%
54
Turkish 1st League
39.3%
100.0%
56
Ukrainian Premier League
58.7%
100.0%
46
04

📋 Recent Results

Switzerland vs Slovenia2–1

Match ResultHome · 72%
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: No

FYR Macedonia vs Scotland0–2

Match ResultAway · 62%
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: No

Spain vs Czechia3–1

Match ResultHome · 88%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: No

Belarus vs San Marino4–0

Match ResultHome · 82%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: Yes

Croatia vs England0–7

Match ResultAway · 51%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: Yes

Estonia vs Luxembourg1–0

Match ResultAway · 36%
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: No

Finland vs Albania2–1

Match ResultHome · 39%
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: No

Veres Rivne vs Kudrivka2–1

Match ResultHome · 50%
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: Yes

Iceland vs Bulgaria3–0

Match ResultHome · 64%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: No

Hungary vs Georgia1–0

Match ResultHome · 56%
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: No

Faroe Islands vs Slovakia1–1

Match ResultAway · 65%
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: No

France vs Italy1–1

Match ResultHome · 63%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: Yes

Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden1–1

Match ResultAway · 44%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: Yes

Belgium vs Türkiye3–0

Match ResultHome · 59%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: Yes

Ukraine vs Northern Ireland0–3

Match ResultHome · 40%
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: No

Poland vs Romania6–0

Match ResultHome · 52%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: Yes

Kazakhstan vs Moldova1–2

Match ResultHome · 55%
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: No

Latvia vs Montenegro1–2

Match ResultAway · 50%
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: No

Cyprus vs Armenia2–0

Match ResultHome · 47%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: Yes

Malta vs Gibraltar1–1

Match ResultHome · 69%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams ScoreBTTS: Yes
05

📐 Methodology

Forward-tracking: Each prediction is logged before the match is played. After the match ends (status FT), hit/miss is automatically verified. No retrospective "we would have predicted" trickery.

Scope: All tracked competitions: 15 club leagues, the UEFA club cups (Champions League, Europa League, Conference League), World Cup + qualifiers, EURO, Copa América, AFCON, Asian Cup and the UEFA Nations League. International friendlies are excluded from these statistics. England's Championship, League One, League Two and National League were tracked from 24 May to 8 Sep 2026 — their logged predictions remain in these figures; no new ones are added.

Confidence tiers: Elite ≥70%, Solid ≥55%, Normal below. The headline counts only picks the model itself labelled Solid or Elite before kickoff (the tier is stamped into the log at prediction time); the all-picks figure — including the ones it labelled uncertain — sits right beneath it and is never hidden.