Goalence ✦ Data Speaks
TODAY'S MATCH
19:00 UTC · Fri · 🌍 World Cup
Canada
vs
Bosnia & Herzegovina
- Expected score
- 1-0
- Lead conversion· Canada
- 100%
- Late-goal rate· Canada
- 0%
GOALENCE EDITOR
♟️
World Cup Tactics Through History: From WM to Possession-Pressing
Every World Cup gets a tactical signature — the formation, the press, the system that wins it. Eight tournaments, eight tactical revolutions.
4 min · → Read
📐
Pi-Ratings vs Elo vs xG: Three Models, One Football Match
Three statistical lenses for the same 90 minutes. Each picks up a different part of the truth — Goalence picks one, but here's why all three matter.
4 min · → Read
🥇
Fergus Suter: The Story of Football's First Professional
A Glasgow stonemason crossed the border in 1878 and changed football forever — the amateur era ended, the passing game began.
4 min · → Read
HOW IT WORKS
Goalence pulls data from 30+ competitions, runs it through a Pi-Ratings + Poisson model, and logs every prediction before kickoff. Past accuracy: 50% correct on 16 resolved matches.
EXPLORE
© 2026 Goalence. Predictions are produced by statistical models and not guaranteed.
50% · n=16