Oct 10, 01:00 PM · Regular Season - 6 · Model tag: Normal
Home
33.1%
Draw
27.8%
Away
39.0%
Under 2.5
53.0%
BTTS: Yes
55.3%
Fiorentina hold a slim edge over Genoa in this Serie A match — 39% confidence puts it in the Normal tier with a 0-1 projection. In this Serie A context, small swings in form or selection can flip the projection — treat the narrow-confidence pick as a starting point rather than a lock.
Oct 10, 04:00 PM · Regular Season - 6 · Model tag: ELITE
Home
81.3%
Draw
12.5%
Away
6.3%
Over 2.5
66.8%
BTTS: Yes
53.7%
Goalence's Pi-Ratings model gives Inter a clear edge against Parma in Serie A — 81% confidence (ELITE tier) with an expected scoreline of 2-0. Both teams are projected to score (54% BTTS yes), suggesting an open contest where neither defense fully shuts down the opponent.
Oct 10, 06:45 PM · Regular Season - 6 · Model tag: SOLID
Home
61.0%
Draw
21.5%
Away
17.5%
Over 2.5
59.4%
BTTS: Yes
55.7%
Goalence's Pi-Ratings model gives Napoli a clear edge against Frosinone in Serie A — 61% confidence (SOLID tier) with an expected scoreline of 1-0. Both teams are projected to score (56% BTTS yes), suggesting an open contest where neither defense fully shuts down the opponent.