🇦🇹 Austrian Bundesliga · Final
Ried vs Rapid Vienna
May 22, 05:30 PM · Innviertel Arena
○ Normal PREDICTION
Ried Home Win
40%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Ried40%
Draw28%
Rapid Vienna31%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)41%
Under 2.5 (0-2)59%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes46%
BTTS: No54%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
8.3%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Ried vs Rapid Vienna — Ried Home Win: 40%. λ (Home): 1.29 · λ (Away): 1.02.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.