🇩🇪 Bundesliga · Final
VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Paderborn 07
May 21, 06:30 PM · Volkswagen Arena
○ Normal PREDICTION
VfL Wolfsburg Home Win
52%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
VfL Wolfsburg52%
Draw25%
SC Paderborn 0723%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)50%
Under 2.5 (0-2)50%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes53%
BTTS: No47%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
11.0%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.7%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Paderborn 07 — VfL Wolfsburg Home Win: 52%. λ (Home): 1.59 · λ (Away): 1.08.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.