🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Congo DR vs Denmark
Jun 03, 06:00 PM · Maurice Dufrasnestadion
○ Normal PREDICTION
Denmark Away Win
51%
Predicted score: 0-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Most Likely Scores
0-1
13.2%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.3%
Pre-match Outlook
Denmark enter this International Friendlies fixture with a measured advantage over Congo DR (51% confidence, Normal tier) and a projected 0-1 result.
Goal expectation is balanced — λ 0.92 for Congo DR, λ 1.52 for Denmark, total 2.44; the over/under read is under 2.5 at 56%.
In this International Friendlies context, small swings in form or selection can flip the projection — treat the moderate-confidence pick as a starting point rather than a lock.
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Congo DR vs Denmark — Denmark Away Win: 51%. λ (Home): 0.92 · λ (Away): 1.52.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.