🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Kazakhstan vs Hungary
Jun 09, 12:00 PM
○ Normal PREDICTION
Hungary Away Win
52%
Predicted score: 0-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Kazakhstan21%
Draw27%
Hungary52%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)38%
Under 2.5 (0-2)62%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes41%
BTTS: No59%
Most Likely Scores
0-1
15.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-2
8.7%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Kazakhstan vs Hungary — Hungary Away Win: 52%. λ (Home): 0.78 · λ (Away): 1.42.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.