🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Mexico vs Ghana
May 23, 02:00 AM
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
Mexico Home Win
67%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Mexico67%
Draw23%
Ghana10%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)37%
Under 2.5 (0-2)63%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes31%
BTTS: No69%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
19.1%
2-0
16.2%
3-0
9.1%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Mexico vs Ghana — Mexico Home Win: 67%. λ (Home): 1.69 · λ (Away): 0.49.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.