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🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International

Qatar vs Sudan

May 21, 03:30 PM

SAFE PREDICTION

Qatar Home Win

66%

Predicted score: 1-0

Outcome Probabilities

1X2 — Match Result

Qatar66%
Draw21%
Sudan14%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5 (3+)51%
Under 2.5 (0-2)49%

Both Teams Score

BTTS: Yes52%
BTTS: No48%

Most Likely Scores

1-0

11.2%

2-1

9.7%

2-0

9.4%

How the Model Works

We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.

Qatar vs SudanQatar Home Win: 66%. λ (Home): 1.68 · λ (Away): 1.02.

Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.