🏴 English Championship · Final
Hull City vs Middlesbrough
May 23, 02:30 PM · Wembley Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
Middlesbrough Away Win
45%
Predicted score: 0-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Hull City30%
Draw25%
Middlesbrough45%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)53%
Under 2.5 (0-2)47%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes56%
BTTS: No44%
Most Likely Scores
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
7.5%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Hull City vs Middlesbrough — Middlesbrough Away Win: 45%. λ (Home): 1.24 · λ (Away): 1.57.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.