🏴 Scottish Premiership · Final
Partick vs ST Mirren
May 21, 07:00 PM · Firhill Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
Partick Home Win
53%
Predicted score: 2-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Partick53%
Draw23%
ST Mirren24%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)58%
Under 2.5 (0-2)42%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes58%
BTTS: No42%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
8.3%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Partick vs ST Mirren — Partick Home Win: 53%. λ (Home): 1.85 · λ (Away): 1.17.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.