🇨🇭 Swiss Super League · Final
Grasshoppers vs FC Aarau
May 21, 06:15 PM · Letzigrund Stadion
○ Normal PREDICTION
Grasshoppers Home Win
45%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Grasshoppers45%
Draw28%
FC Aarau28%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)41%
Under 2.5 (0-2)59%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes46%
BTTS: No54%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.0%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Grasshoppers vs FC Aarau — Grasshoppers Home Win: 45%. λ (Home): 1.34 · λ (Away): 0.99.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.