🇪🇸 La Liga · Regular Season - 38
Celta Vigo vs Sevilla
May 23, 07:00 PM · Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
○ Normal PREDICTION
Celta Vigo Home Win
47%
Predicted score: 2-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Celta Vigo47%
Draw23%
Sevilla29%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)59%
Under 2.5 (0-2)41%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes61%
BTTS: No39%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-0
7.1%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Celta Vigo vs Sevilla — Celta Vigo Home Win: 47%. λ (Home): 1.75 · λ (Away): 1.32.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.