🇪🇸 La Liga · Regular Season - 38
Getafe vs Osasuna
May 23, 07:00 PM · Coliseum
○ Normal PREDICTION
Getafe Home Win
40%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Getafe40%
Draw36%
Osasuna24%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)20%
Under 2.5 (0-2)80%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes27%
BTTS: No73%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
19.7%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
5.5%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Getafe vs Osasuna — Getafe Home Win: 40%. λ (Home): 0.90 · λ (Away): 0.62.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.