🇪🇸 La Liga · Regular Season - 38
Girona vs Elche
May 23, 07:00 PM · Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
○ Normal PREDICTION
Girona Home Win
52%
Predicted score: 2-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Girona52%
Draw23%
Elche24%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)56%
Under 2.5 (0-2)44%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes56%
BTTS: No44%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-0
8.6%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Girona vs Elche — Girona Home Win: 52%. λ (Home): 1.77 · λ (Away): 1.13.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.