🇪🇸 La Liga · Regular Season - 38
Mallorca vs Oviedo
May 23, 07:00 PM · Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
Mallorca Home Win
61%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Mallorca61%
Draw22%
Oviedo17%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)51%
Under 2.5 (0-2)49%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes48%
BTTS: No52%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.5%
2-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Mallorca vs Oviedo — Mallorca Home Win: 61%. λ (Home): 1.85 · λ (Away): 0.84.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.