🏴 Premier League · Regular Season - 38
Burnley vs Wolves
May 24, 03:00 PM · Turf Moor
○ Normal PREDICTION
Burnley Home Win
39%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Burnley39%
Draw26%
Wolves35%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)51%
Under 2.5 (0-2)49%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes55%
BTTS: No45%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
6.5%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Burnley vs Wolves — Burnley Home Win: 39%. λ (Home): 1.41 · λ (Away): 1.31.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.