🏴 Premier League · Regular Season - 38
Liverpool vs Brentford
May 24, 03:00 PM · Anfield
○ Normal PREDICTION
Liverpool Home Win
51%
Predicted score: 2-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Liverpool51%
Draw24%
Brentford26%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)55%
Under 2.5 (0-2)45%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes56%
BTTS: No44%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-0
8.3%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Liverpool vs Brentford — Liverpool Home Win: 51%. λ (Home): 1.73 · λ (Away): 1.16.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.