🏴 Premier League · Regular Season - 38
Tottenham vs Everton
May 24, 03:00 PM · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
Everton Away Win
47%
Predicted score: 1-2
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Tottenham29%
Draw24%
Everton47%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)57%
Under 2.5 (0-2)43%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes59%
BTTS: No41%
Most Likely Scores
1-2
9.4%
0-1
8.6%
0-2
7.4%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Tottenham vs Everton — Everton Away Win: 47%. λ (Home): 1.28 · λ (Away): 1.70.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.