🏴 Premier League · Regular Season - 38
West Ham vs Leeds
May 24, 03:00 PM · London Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
Leeds Away Win
37%
Predicted score: 0-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
West Ham37%
Draw26%
Leeds37%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)51%
Under 2.5 (0-2)49%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes55%
BTTS: No45%
Most Likely Scores
0-1
9.0%
1-2
8.3%
0-2
6.1%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
West Ham vs Leeds — Leeds Away Win: 37%. λ (Home): 1.36 · λ (Away): 1.36.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.