🇷🇺 Russian Premier League · Final
Dinamo Makhachkala vs Ural
May 23, 01:00 PM · Anzhi Arena
○ Normal PREDICTION
Dinamo Makhachkala Home Win
48%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Dinamo Makhachkala48%
Draw31%
Ural21%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)28%
Under 2.5 (0-2)72%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes33%
BTTS: No67%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
18.7%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
7.2%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Dinamo Makhachkala vs Ural — Dinamo Makhachkala Home Win: 48%. λ (Home): 1.17 · λ (Away): 0.67.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.