🇺🇦 Ukrainian Premier League · Regular Season - 30
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs SK Poltava
May 23, 12:30 PM · Ternopilsky Misky Stadion
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Home Win
70%
Predicted score: 2-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi70%
Draw17%
SK Poltava13%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)75%
Under 2.5 (0-2)25%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes62%
BTTS: No38%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
2-0
8.1%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs SK Poltava — Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Home Win: 70%. λ (Home): 2.82 · λ (Away): 1.07.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.