🇺🇦 Ukrainian Premier League · Regular Season - 30
Karpaty vs Zorya Luhansk
May 23, 03:00 PM · Ukraina Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
Karpaty Home Win
49%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Karpaty49%
Draw26%
Zorya Luhansk25%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)53%
Under 2.5 (0-2)47%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes53%
BTTS: No47%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.3%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Karpaty vs Zorya Luhansk — Karpaty Home Win: 49%. λ (Home): 1.74 · λ (Away): 1.05.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.