🇺🇦 Ukrainian Premier League · Regular Season - 30
Oleksandria vs Kryvbas KR
May 23, 10:00 AM · KSK Nika
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
Kryvbas KR Away Win
64%
Predicted score: 1-2
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Oleksandria17%
Draw19%
Kryvbas KR64%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)68%
Under 2.5 (0-2)32%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes62%
BTTS: No38%
Most Likely Scores
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.5%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Oleksandria vs Kryvbas KR — Kryvbas KR Away Win: 64%. λ (Home): 1.16 · λ (Away): 2.34.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.