🇺🇦 Ukrainian Premier League · Regular Season - 30
Polessya vs Ruh Lviv
May 24, 10:00 AM · Tsentralnyi Stadion
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Polessya Home Win
79%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Polessya79%
Draw17%
Ruh Lviv3%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)35%
Under 2.5 (0-2)65%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes16%
BTTS: No84%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
23.2%
2-0
22.0%
3-0
14.0%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Polessya vs Ruh Lviv — Polessya Home Win: 79%. λ (Home): 1.90 · λ (Away): 0.20.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.