🇺🇦 Ukrainian Premier League · Regular Season - 30
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka
May 21, 12:30 PM · Ukraina Stadium
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Shakhtar Donetsk Home Win
72%
Predicted score: 2-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Shakhtar Donetsk72%
Draw19%
Kolos Kovalivka9%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)48%
Under 2.5 (0-2)52%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes37%
BTTS: No63%
Most Likely Scores
2-0
15.4%
1-0
15.1%
3-0
10.4%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka — Shakhtar Donetsk Home Win: 72%. λ (Home): 2.04 · λ (Away): 0.56.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.