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🇺🇦 Ukrainian Premier League · Regular Season - 30

Veres Rivne vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

May 24, 10:00 AM · Avanhard

Normal PREDICTION

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Away Win

53%

Predicted score: 0-1

Outcome Probabilities

1X2 — Match Result

Veres Rivne19%
Draw28%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv53%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5 (3+)33%
Under 2.5 (0-2)67%

Both Teams Score

BTTS: Yes37%
BTTS: No63%

Most Likely Scores

0-1

17.7%

0-2

12.1%

1-2

8.2%

How the Model Works

We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.

Veres Rivne vs Metalist 1925 KharkivMetalist 1925 Kharkiv Away Win: 53%. λ (Home): 0.68 · λ (Away): 1.36.

Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.