🇬🇷 Greek Super League · Relegation Group - 10
Kifisia vs Larisa
May 21, 04:00 PM · Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis
○ Normal PREDICTION
Kifisia Home Win
40%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Kifisia40%
Draw30%
Larisa30%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)33%
Under 2.5 (0-2)67%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes41%
BTTS: No59%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.9%
2-0
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Kifisia vs Larisa — Kifisia Home Win: 40%. λ (Home): 1.06 · λ (Away): 0.97.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.