🇩🇪 Bundesliga · Final
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfL Wolfsburg
May 25, 06:30 PM · Home Deluxe Arena
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
VfL Wolfsburg Away Win
61%
Predicted score: 1-2
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
SC Paderborn 0719%
Draw19%
VfL Wolfsburg61%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)68%
Under 2.5 (0-2)32%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes63%
BTTS: No37%
Most Likely Scores
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.3%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfL Wolfsburg — VfL Wolfsburg Away Win: 61%. λ (Home): 1.22 · λ (Away): 2.28.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.