🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Albania vs Israel
Jun 03, 06:00 PM · Air Albania Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
Albania Home Win
43%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Albania43%
Draw26%
Israel31%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)50%
Under 2.5 (0-2)50%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes54%
BTTS: No46%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
7.4%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Albania vs Israel — Albania Home Win: 43%. λ (Home): 1.46 · λ (Away): 1.20.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.