🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Albania vs Luxembourg
Jun 06, 06:00 PM · Air Albania Stadium
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
Albania Home Win
59%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Albania59%
Draw28%
Luxembourg13%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)28%
Under 2.5 (0-2)72%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes28%
BTTS: No72%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
21.7%
2-0
14.6%
2-1
7.0%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Albania vs Luxembourg — Albania Home Win: 59%. λ (Home): 1.35 · λ (Away): 0.48.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.