🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Andorra vs Iraq
May 29, 04:00 PM · Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
Iraq Away Win
70%
Predicted score: 0-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Andorra1%
Draw29%
Iraq70%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)14%
Under 2.5 (0-2)86%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes3%
BTTS: No97%
Most Likely Scores
0-1
34.1%
0-2
21.3%
0-3
8.9%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Andorra vs Iraq — Iraq Away Win: 70%. λ (Home): 0.05 · λ (Away): 1.25.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.