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🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International

Angola vs Botswana

Jun 05, 12:00 PM

SAFE PREDICTION

Angola Home Win

69%

Predicted score: 1-0

Outcome Probabilities

1X2 — Match Result

Angola69%
Draw23%
Botswana8%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5 (3+)32%
Under 2.5 (0-2)68%

Both Teams Score

BTTS: Yes25%
BTTS: No75%

Most Likely Scores

1-0

22.1%

2-0

18.1%

3-0

9.9%

How the Model Works

We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.

Angola vs BotswanaAngola Home Win: 69%. λ (Home): 1.64 · λ (Away): 0.36.

Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.