🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Argentina vs Honduras
Jun 07, 12:00 AM · Kyle Field
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Argentina Home Win
93%
Predicted score: 2-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Argentina93%
Draw7%
Honduras0%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)54%
Under 2.5 (0-2)46%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes5%
BTTS: No95%
Most Likely Scores
2-0
22.8%
3-0
21.1%
1-0
16.4%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Argentina vs Honduras — Argentina Home Win: 93%. λ (Home): 2.78 · λ (Away): 0.05.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.