🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Armenia vs Kazakhstan
Jun 06, 04:00 PM · Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
Armenia Home Win
45%
Predicted score: 2-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Armenia45%
Draw22%
Kazakhstan33%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)69%
Under 2.5 (0-2)31%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes69%
BTTS: No31%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
1-0
5.5%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Armenia vs Kazakhstan — Armenia Home Win: 45%. λ (Home): 1.93 · λ (Away): 1.64.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.