🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Armenia vs Moldova
Jun 09, 04:00 PM
○ Normal PREDICTION
Armenia Home Win
53%
Predicted score: 2-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Armenia53%
Draw21%
Moldova26%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)66%
Under 2.5 (0-2)34%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes65%
BTTS: No35%
Most Likely Scores
2-1
9.4%
2-0
6.8%
1-0
6.7%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Armenia vs Moldova — Armenia Home Win: 53%. λ (Home): 2.04 · λ (Away): 1.38.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.