🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Australia vs Switzerland
Jun 06, 07:00 PM · Snapdragon Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
Australia Home Win
40%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Australia40%
Draw25%
Switzerland35%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)52%
Under 2.5 (0-2)48%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes56%
BTTS: No44%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
6.5%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Australia vs Switzerland — Australia Home Win: 40%. λ (Home): 1.43 · λ (Away): 1.32.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.