🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Austria vs Guatemala
Jun 11, 04:00 AM · Rose Bowl
🔥 ELITE PREDICTION
Austria Home Win
85%
Predicted score: 2-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Austria85%
Draw11%
Guatemala4%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)66%
Under 2.5 (0-2)34%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes38%
BTTS: No62%
Most Likely Scores
2-0
13.8%
3-0
13.2%
1-0
9.6%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Austria vs Guatemala — Austria Home Win: 85%. λ (Home): 2.88 · λ (Away): 0.52.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.