🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Austria vs Tunisia
Jun 01, 06:45 PM · Ernst Happel Stadion
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
Austria Home Win
66%
Predicted score: 2-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Austria66%
Draw20%
Tunisia14%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)55%
Under 2.5 (0-2)45%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes49%
BTTS: No51%
Most Likely Scores
2-0
11.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Austria vs Tunisia — Austria Home Win: 66%. λ (Home): 2.06 · λ (Away): 0.83.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.