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🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International

Bahrain vs Syria

Jun 09, 02:00 PM

SAFE PREDICTION

Syria Away Win

55%

Predicted score: 0-1

Outcome Probabilities

1X2 — Match Result

Bahrain21%
Draw24%
Syria55%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5 (3+)49%
Under 2.5 (0-2)51%

Both Teams Score

BTTS: Yes49%
BTTS: No51%

Most Likely Scores

0-1

12.3%

0-2

10.4%

1-2

9.7%

How the Model Works

We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.

Bahrain vs SyriaSyria Away Win: 55%. λ (Home): 0.93 · λ (Away): 1.69.

Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.