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🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International

Belarus vs Syria

Jun 05, 12:00 PM · National Stadium

Normal PREDICTION

Syria Away Win

46%

Predicted score: 0-1

Outcome Probabilities

1X2 — Match Result

Belarus29%
Draw25%
Syria46%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5 (3+)52%
Under 2.5 (0-2)48%

Both Teams Score

BTTS: Yes55%
BTTS: No45%

Most Likely Scores

0-1

10.0%

1-2

9.3%

0-2

7.8%

How the Model Works

We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.

Belarus vs SyriaSyria Away Win: 46%. λ (Home): 1.19 · λ (Away): 1.56.

Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.