🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Belgium vs Tunisia
Jun 06, 01:00 PM · King Baudouin Stadium
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
Belgium Home Win
69%
Predicted score: 2-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Belgium69%
Draw17%
Tunisia13%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)65%
Under 2.5 (0-2)35%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes56%
BTTS: No44%
Most Likely Scores
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.5%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Belgium vs Tunisia — Belgium Home Win: 69%. λ (Home): 2.39 · λ (Away): 0.95.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.