🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Bolivia vs Scotland
Jun 06, 08:00 PM · Sports Illustrated Stadium
○ Normal PREDICTION
Bolivia Home Win
50%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Bolivia50%
Draw24%
Scotland26%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)53%
Under 2.5 (0-2)47%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes55%
BTTS: No45%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.5%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Bolivia vs Scotland — Bolivia Home Win: 50%. λ (Home): 1.66 · λ (Away): 1.13.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.