🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Botswana vs Niger
Jun 09, 12:00 PM
○ Normal PREDICTION
Niger Away Win
48%
Predicted score: 0-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Most Likely Scores
0-1
16.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
8.0%
Pre-match Outlook
Niger enter this International Friendlies fixture with a measured advantage over Botswana (48% confidence, Normal tier) and a projected 0-1 result.
Goal volume is muted — λ 0.78 for Botswana, λ 1.25 for Niger, total 2.03; under 2.5 carries 67% weight.
In this International Friendlies context, small swings in form or selection can flip the projection — treat the moderate-confidence pick as a starting point rather than a lock.
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Botswana vs Niger — Niger Away Win: 48%. λ (Home): 0.78 · λ (Away): 1.25.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.