goalence

🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International

Brazil vs Egypt

Jun 06, 08:00 PM · Cleveland Browns Stadium

🔥 ELITE PREDICTION

Brazil Home Win

70%

Predicted score: 1-0

Outcome Probabilities

1X2 — Match Result

Brazil70%
Draw21%
Egypt9%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5 (3+)40%
Under 2.5 (0-2)60%

Both Teams Score

BTTS: Yes31%
BTTS: No69%

Most Likely Scores

1-0

18.4%

2-0

16.8%

3-0

10.2%

How the Model Works

We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.

Brazil vs EgyptBrazil Home Win: 70%. λ (Home): 1.82 · λ (Away): 0.47.

Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.