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🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International

Bulgaria vs Montenegro

Jun 01, 04:00 PM · Stadion Hristo Botev

Normal PREDICTION

Bulgaria Home Win

43%

Predicted score: 2-1

Outcome Probabilities

1X2 — Match Result

Bulgaria43%
Draw24%
Montenegro33%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5 (3+)58%
Under 2.5 (0-2)42%

Both Teams Score

BTTS: Yes60%
BTTS: No40%

Most Likely Scores

2-1

9.0%

1-0

8.1%

2-0

6.5%

How the Model Works

We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.

Bulgaria vs MontenegroBulgaria Home Win: 43%. λ (Home): 1.62 · λ (Away): 1.38.

Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.