🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Burundi vs Equatorial Guinea
Jun 04, 04:00 PM
○ Normal PREDICTION
Burundi Home Win
40%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Burundi40%
Draw30%
Equatorial Guinea29%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)33%
Under 2.5 (0-2)67%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes40%
BTTS: No60%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.8%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Burundi vs Equatorial Guinea — Burundi Home Win: 40%. λ (Home): 1.11 · λ (Away): 0.91.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.