🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Cambodia vs Hong Kong
Jun 09, 10:00 AM
○ Normal PREDICTION
Hong Kong Away Win
47%
Predicted score: 0-1
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Cambodia27%
Draw26%
Hong Kong47%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)47%
Under 2.5 (0-2)53%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes50%
BTTS: No50%
Most Likely Scores
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
8.6%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Cambodia vs Hong Kong — Hong Kong Away Win: 47%. λ (Home): 1.06 · λ (Away): 1.48.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.