🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Canada vs Rep. Of Ireland
Jun 05, 11:30 PM · Saputo Stadium
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
Canada Home Win
67%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Canada67%
Draw24%
Rep. Of Ireland8%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)30%
Under 2.5 (0-2)70%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes24%
BTTS: No76%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
22.8%
2-0
17.7%
3-0
9.1%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Canada vs Rep. Of Ireland — Canada Home Win: 67%. λ (Home): 1.55 · λ (Away): 0.37.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.