🌍 International Friendlies · Friendly International
Canada vs Uzbekistan
Jun 02, 01:00 AM · Commonwealth Stadium
⭐ SAFE PREDICTION
Canada Home Win
62%
Predicted score: 1-0
Outcome Probabilities
1X2 — Match Result
Canada62%
Draw26%
Uzbekistan12%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5 (3+)31%
Under 2.5 (0-2)69%
Both Teams Score
BTTS: Yes29%
BTTS: No71%
Most Likely Scores
1-0
21.0%
2-0
15.3%
3-0
7.5%
How the Model Works
We use an iterative Pi-Ratings model: each team has separate home and away attack/defense ratings, updated after every match. Lambda values are converted to outcome probabilities via Poisson distribution. Match result, over/under, and BTTS predictions are all derived from a single coherent model.
Canada vs Uzbekistan — Canada Home Win: 62%. λ (Home): 1.46 · λ (Away): 0.48.
Predictions are produced by statistical models and cannot be guaranteed. Use as reference only.